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Vol. V, Issue #1 - January 2017

** Matt Eddy Returns with the Top 10 Most Promising
Rookie Prospects You Should Know About
**

(Matt Eddy is a main writer and editor for Baseball America which focuses upon
young prospect players as well as helps with the website and blog of his Strat League)


(
Comments from the Wolfman: 
I want to welcome back our contributing writer Matt Eddy with his latest special article for our members, which is a very relevant one, dealing with young prospects in MLB.  It seems this month with the release of the "2017 USBN Essential Draft Guide" and part II of my article of ideas how to build your Keeper League Team linked with the 2017 SOM Card set, our members are receiving many recommendations how to prepare for their upcoming Drafts. As stated above, Matt is one of the key writers for Baseball America, who specializes in keeping track of the good young players coming up. Each year they publish "Baseball America: Prospect Handbook", which Matt of course assists with.  Plus I see Matt's name always mentioned on the reports shared on http://www.mlbtraderumors.com as they quote him about minor league player movement or which vets are signed to a minor league contracts. 

We did interview Matt in the January issue of last year's newsletter (the link is below) and he wrote another article in May of last year (also see below) about how to prepare your roster for the playoffs. So you might want to check these prior articles that we released.

http://www.ultimatestratbaseball.com/USBN-1-2016/MattEddy-January2016.htm

http://www.utlimatestratbaseball.com/USBN-5-2016/MattEddy-May2016.htm

Ok then, let's enjoy this new article shared by Matt Eddy, are ya ready?)
 



Ultimate Strat Baseball Newsletter, Matt Eddy editor Baseball America, webmaster MMDA Strat-o-matic Baseball League

Top Ten Most Promising Prospects You Should
Pay Attention To

by Matt Eddy

(Wolfman's Note - Matt is discussing the prospects below as being uncarded, which is how his Strat Baseball League views them. But all of these young players he mentions in the 2017 set do get a computer image card because they did play during the 2016 MLB Season. In the league I play in, we considered them to be a carded player that we can draft, although they may not have enough ABs or IPs to be used during our season.  Anyway, they are all very good rookie prospects ....)

It’s never too early to begin preparing for your draft—even if that means readying for the 2018 draft.


So if you play in Strat league that prohibits the drafting of uncarded players—as I do—you will want to file the following names away for next year’s draft.

When I carried out this exercise a year ago I singled out Gary Sanchez (No. 2), Max Kepler (No. 1) and Jose Peraza (No. 6) as top uncarded prospects. All three should go off the board inside the top 30 picks in my league this year.

To add some heft to this ranking, I attached scouting grades on the traditional 20-80 scale to all 10 prospects. These grades are based on actual 2016 minor league performance and not the opinions of scouts. In other words, these are not projected future grades endorsed by the baseball industry. They are mathematic calculations in which 50 represents league average and 60 is one standard deviation above average and 70 is two standard deviations above average, etc.

I graded position players by batting average (hit), isolated slugging (power) and a simplified speed score (speed). I graded pitchers by strikeout rate (whiffs), walk rate (walks) and home run rate (homers). Average, isolated power and home run rate are adjusted for home ballpark.
 

-----------------

1. Yoan Moncada, 2B/3B, White Sox 

Moncada went just 4-for-19 with 12 strikeouts during a September callup with the Red Sox, but he has few rivals in terms of physical ability, not to mention a long list of credentials. The 21-year-old Cuban claimed the Baseball America Minor League Player of the Year award in 2016, for a season he spent at high Class A Salem and Double-A Portland. In 106 games overall Moncada hit .294/.407/.511 with 15 home runs, 37 doubles-plus-triples, 45 stolen bases and 72 walks. Just don't expect him to win any Gold Gloves.

The Red Sox traded Moncada and three other prospects to the White Sox for Chris Sale at the 2016 Winter Meetings.

Team (Lvl) PA Hit Power Speed
Salem (HiA) 284 60 60 75
Portland (AA) 207 50 75 65


2. Jose De Leon, RHP, Rays 

Batters saw the ball well out of De Leon's hand during his first four big league starts for the Dodgers. They lit him up for 19 hits, including five home runs, and a 6.35 ERA in 17 innings. However, De Leon is coming off an historic strikeout performance at Triple-A Oklahoma City, where he fanned nearly 33 percent of batters while working as a starter. Only a handful of Triple-A starters have ever cleared 30 percent strikeouts in a season of 80 or more innings.

The Rays acquired De Leon in January when they traded Logan Forsythe to the Dodgers.

Team (Lvl) IP Whiffs Walks Homers
Okla. City (AAA) 86 80 55 50


3. Lucas Giolito, RHP, White Sox
 

What happened to Giolioto's fastball? This is the question the Nationals no longer face after trading him and two other prospects to the White Sox for Adam Eaton at the 2016 Winter Meetings. Singled out for the velocity and quality of his fastball in the past, Giolito allowed a .350 average and near-1.200 OPS when throwing his heater in the big leagues in 2016. Caveat: He threw just 21 innings, and he does enough other things well to remain interesting.

Team (Lvl) IP Whiffs Walks Homers
Harrisburg (AA) 71 60 35 70
Syracuse (AAA) 37 65 50 50


4. David Paulino, RHP, Astros

Pilfered from the Tigers at the 2013 trade deadline, Paulino had Tommy John surgery soon after becoming Astros property. Houston knew that was the case but decided the wait was worth it. So far, so good. Paulino shows remarkable control for a 6-foot-7 pitcher and he can miss bats with three pitch types. The final hurdle for his development is durability, for he has not topped 100 innings in any pro season.

Team (Lvl) IP Whiffs Walks Homers
Corp. Christi (AA) 64 70 60 60
Fresno (AAA) 14 75 40 60


5. Jorge Alfaro, C, Phillies

Alfaro's value is tied to his strong arm behind the plate and projected ability to hit about .260 with 15-20 home runs and very few walks. This would make him more of a contributor than an outright Strat star, but that's obviously valuable behind the plate. Alfaro is a fast runner for a catcher, so his big league managers will fight the urge to run him into the ground, a la Jason Kendall or the early portion of J.T. Realmuto's career.

Team (Lvl) PA Hit Power Speed
Reading (AA) 435 60 50 50


6. Raimel Tapia, OF, Rockies

Rockies prospects play in nice hitters' parks on their trek to Denver, but even still Tapia stands out as a career .317 hitter who has always been young for his level. He also has plus wheels and good range in center field. The lefthanded-batting Tapia has areas to improve, such as walk rate and stolen-base efficiency, but he might wind up being vaguely reminiscent of Juan Pierre.

Team (Lvl) PA Hit Power Speed
Hartford (AA) 457 70 45 65
Albuquerque (AAA) 110 65 40 75


7. German Marquez, RHP, Rockies

The Rays don’t let many promising young pitchers get away, but they might have in the case of Marquez, a 22-year-old Venezuelan righthander. Tampa Bay traded him to the Rockies following the 2015 season when the acquired Corey Dickerson. Marquez throws a lot of strikes and keeps the ball off the barrel very well for a young power pitcher. His 4.35 ERA at Triple-A Albuquerque was actually about 20 percent better than the Pacific Coast League average after adjusting for ballpark.

Team (Lvl) IP Whiffs Walks Homers
Hartford (AA) 136 60 55 55
Albuquerque (AAA) 31 60 60 40


8. Carson Kelly, C, Cardinals

The Cardinals drafted Kelly as a third baseman in 2012 and converted him to catcher after two pro seasons. He didn't hit—at all—in 2014 or 2015 in Class A ball, but an encouraging 2016 that included a September callup validates St. Louis' conversion plan. Kelly should be a well-balanced, but not great, Strat option at catcher.

Team (Lvl) PA Hit Power Speed
Springfield (AA) 236 65 45 40
Memphis (AAA) 126 60 40 40


9. Jeimer Candelario, 3B, Cubs

A switch-hitting third baseman who can defend the position and throw, Canedlario offers a varied skill set that includes a bit of everything except speed. He won't have any place to call home in the Cubs' crowded infield, so he would certainly welcome a trade—as would whichever Strat manager drafts him!

Team (Lvl) PA Hit Power Speed
Tennessee (AA) 244 40 55 45
Iowa (AAA) 309 65 60 40


10. Carson Fulmer, RHP, White Sox

Forget Fulmer’s big league debut. On second thought, ignore his entire pro career up to this point. The White Sox attempted their trademark rush job on Fulmer, the second college righthander off the board in the 2015 draft, but he wasn't as ready as 2010 pick Chris Sale or 2014 pick Carlos Rodon to make an immediate impact. That's OK. Baseball men still rave about Fulmer's stuff and demeanor. Don't be surprised if he succeeds David Robertson as Chicago's closer.

Team (Lvl) IP Whiffs Walks Homers
Birmingham (AA) 87 60 35 45
Charlotte (AAA) 16 55 50 60


(NOTES from the Wolfman: We want to thank Matt for contributing this special article to help our members with their upcoming league draft.  If anyone would like to chat with Matt about Strat or ask some questions linked to this article, feel free to email him at: eddymk@yahoo.com)




 

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Contained inside this exciting issue of Ultimate Strat Baseball Newsletter:
(to view the various interviews, articles, columns and special sections click on the links {underlined}
and this will take you to the appropriate webpage)
 

  RETURN TO NEWSLETTER MAIN PAGE

  ARTICLE with WOLFMAN SHAPIRO - How to Setup Your Draft League Team, the Second Part of this article, Wolfman, continues his article from our last issue to share with us the meat and potatoes of his strategies how to build his 2017 Skokie Wolfmen in the CBA, a computer league as he prepared for this Keeper League's draft.  By using his team as an example, you may receive from this article so suggestions and strategies to use for your own team.

  SOM Baseball and MLB World News - January 2017, This is our periodic column where we share any exciting news and updates linked to either the SOM World or MLB. In this issue, we first discuss the wide range of new and amazing products (the Ratings Guide, the new mobile Apps, the new seasons with printed cards and computer rosters, the 2017 edition of the computer game and more) that Strat-o-matic will begin releasing on January 31st.  Also we give a report on the new champion of the Strat Tournament Player's Club WORLDS tournament and discuss the enhanced new features of Version 1.1 of the 2017 USBN Esseential Draft Guide.

  INTERVIEW with J.G. Preston, Baseball Writers Extraordinaire, J.G. was one of our first guest to interview in the life of our newsletter in January 2013.  He used to work at the game company when he was younger and for the Wolfman, he is the person who gave him this name back in the 1970's.  J.G. has become a prolific baseball writer for SABR as well as on his own blog site sharing histories of players and insights about MLB. We ask J.G. what he is up to these days as we believe our members might wish to read his writings.  But at heart, he is still a SOM Baseball gamer ...

  SOM BASEBALL LEAGUE REPORT with WOLFMAN SHAPIRO -- the editor of "The Ultimate Strat Newsletter" and 2012 CBA Champion, turns his attention to talk to members of various face-to-face Strat-o-matic Baseball Leagues that he has discovered through the league registry service offered on the Strat-o-matric website. Each commission speaks about the history of their league and their experiences. To read these interviews, click on the links below:

INTERVIEW with KEVIN THOMAS, Commissioner of CAABL (Face-to-Face)
INTERVIEW with RYAN MORRIS, Commissioner of Dave Cash League (Face-to-Face)
 

  ARTICLE with CHUCK TINKLER, Chuck is one of our most popular contributors and is back with a new article for his column, "The Chuck Stop", as he continues his article he calls "Old Guys Rule" with Part II. This article deals with the value of a 1st round draft and more - Chuck always entertains our readers with his insightful and colorful stories and experiences - check his new article out now!

  INTERVIEW with EARL REED, Earl is the head of his own Youtube Strat Baseball Channel called Tenacious Strat, of which a few of his videos have appeared on the USBN Youtube channel. We interview Earl to find out more about his video channel and how he became interested in Strat Baseball.

  RECOMMEND ON-LINE SOM RESOURCES -- On-line Strat-o-matic and Baseball related websites that offer amazing information, special tools and products to improve your game play that we strongly recommend. In most cases, we have had personal contact with these sources who agree with the principle to work together and help promote each other.

  BOOKS TO DIE FOR and Become a BASEBALL GURU -- This page is specifically about special books we are finding that either will expand your insights about the game of Baseball, help you in the creation of your current league teams or with your replays and learn more about the Strat-o-matic Baseball Game and Game Company's history.  We have a special arrangement with Acta Sports, who is a publisher of a number of great baseball books (including Bill James Handbooks) to offer for our members a 10% discount. We will continue to add more books to this page in the future as we uncover other gems our members should know about.


 




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Founder/Editor, the Ultimate Strat Baseball Newsletter

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